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Cyprus urged to adopt strategic restraint amid rising regional tensions and reliance on Greece-Israel alliance

The Republic of Cyprus faces heightened security risks as it deepens military cooperation with Greece and Israel to counter Turkey's growing regional influence. By hosting joint drills and integrating defense systems, Cyprus has effectively become a forward operational base, increasing its vulnerability to Turkish countermeasures. Ankara’s strategic deployments, including drones and coastal fortifications in northern Cyprus, reflect efforts to neutralize this perceived encirclement.

Experts warn that Cyprus's reliance on external allies is unlikely to guarantee protection during conflict, as both Greece and Israel face their own security challenges and may prioritize national interests when tensions escalate. Instead, analysts recommend Cyprus pursue strategic restraint by severing offensive military linkages with foreign partners, enhancing asymmetric defense capabilities, and avoiding provocative military posturing.

This recalibration of Cyprus’s security posture involves focusing defense resources on territorial defense measures rather than coalition integration, and maintaining a clear operational distance from foreign military activities on its soil. Such moves aim to reduce the risk of escalation and ensure the island's survival within the complex balance of power in the Eastern Mediterranean.

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